Saturday, August 30, 2008

Tata Motors

Analysts'Picks: Tata Motors
27 Aug, 2008.

Tata motors
cmp: Rs 433.50
target price: Rs 454

HDFC Securities has maintained its ‘sell’ rating on the stock with a revised target price of Rs.454 (from Rs.431 earlier). The brokerage believes due to uncertainties looming over the company’s Nano project at Singur and 24-35% equity dilution would cap the upside in the stock.

Also the Jaguar-Land Rover (JLR) acquisition would continue to be an overhang on Tata Motors’ stock, the note added. “We are revising our earnings per share estimate upwards by 9% (Rs.29.9 earlier) mainly on account of lower equity dilution by reducing the amount of funds raised through the equity route. We value the company on an SOTP basis with the core business valued at Rs 293 per share and subsidiaries at Rs 161 per share,” the note to clients said.

Infosys Tech

Analysts'Picks: Infosys Tech
27 Aug, 2008

Infosys Tech
cmp: Rs 1,697.60
target price: Rs 1,703

Broking firm Edelweiss Securities has maintained its ‘accumulate’ rating on the stock as it believes that the company’s recent acquisition of the Axon group would bolster the company’s presence in the consulting space.

“The deal is earnings per share (EPS) neutral on standalone basis in FY09 (estimated), but EPS accretion in FY10 (estimated) depends on Axon’s growth and margin trajectory. Incorporating the financial impact of this acquisition, the stock trades at 16.5 times and 13.9 times FY09 and FY10 earnings respectively,” the note said. However, according to the brokerage firm, slowdown in US, significant increase in the salary hikes and attrition rate, reduction in the number of H1B visas granted by US, and incremental appreciation of rupee against US dollar, euro and GBP remain key concerns for the company.

Infosys Tech

Analysts'Picks: Infosys Tech
27 Aug, 2008

Infosys Tech
cmp: Rs 1,697.60
target price: Rs 1,703

Broking firm Edelweiss Securities has maintained its ‘accumulate’ rating on the stock as it believes that the company’s recent acquisition of the Axon group would bolster the company’s presence in the consulting space.

“The deal is earnings per share (EPS) neutral on standalone basis in FY09 (estimated), but EPS accretion in FY10 (estimated) depends on Axon’s growth and margin trajectory. Incorporating the financial impact of this acquisition, the stock trades at 16.5 times and 13.9 times FY09 and FY10 earnings respectively,” the note said. However, according to the brokerage firm, slowdown in US, significant increase in the salary hikes and attrition rate, reduction in the number of H1B visas granted by US, and incremental appreciation of rupee against US dollar, euro and GBP remain key concerns for the company.

Infosys Tech

Analysts'Picks: Infosys Tech
27 Aug, 2008

Infosys Tech
cmp: Rs 1,697.60
target price: Rs 1,703

Broking firm Edelweiss Securities has maintained its ‘accumulate’ rating on the stock as it believes that the company’s recent acquisition of the Axon group would bolster the company’s presence in the consulting space.

“The deal is earnings per share (EPS) neutral on standalone basis in FY09 (estimated), but EPS accretion in FY10 (estimated) depends on Axon’s growth and margin trajectory. Incorporating the financial impact of this acquisition, the stock trades at 16.5 times and 13.9 times FY09 and FY10 earnings respectively,” the note said. However, according to the brokerage firm, slowdown in US, significant increase in the salary hikes and attrition rate, reduction in the number of H1B visas granted by US, and incremental appreciation of rupee against US dollar, euro and GBP remain key concerns for the company.

ABB

Macquarie Research initiates 'underperformer' rating on ABB
10 Sep, 2008


ABB India
cmp: Rs 893.40
target price: Rs 728

Macquarie Research has initiated coverage on ABB India with an ‘underperformer’ rating saying ABB has traded at a significant premium to peers in the power sector equipment space.

“We expect growth to moderate and multiples to come off,” said Macquarie in a note to its clients. Macquarie expects the company’s growth to mod-erate to 26% CAGR over CY08-10.

“We expect ABB’s growth to come in line with BHEL’s (proxy to generation sector investment) projected growth. Our projected topline growth over CY08-10 is 26%, against 42% over CY05-07,” the note said. According to Macquarie, ABB has built-in price escalation clauses in its contracts and has also hedged key raw materials such as copper.

“We expect margins to remain stable on pass through clauses, earnings growth around 27%,” the note added.


Wait for more signals before turning positive

28 Jul, 2008,

At the recent low of 12514 points, the Sensex has tested the 12800-12000-pts support zone and has since then attempted a corrective rally. During the past trend phases in the Sensex, a monthly moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) cross-down below its trigger line, have, typically, led to a significant value erosion, with the corrective phase lasting, at least, for a year.

Therefore, immediate rallies would be interpreted as corrective in nature until the medium-term technical parameters turn positive. The recent upmove in the Sensex since the low of 12514 pts has been very sharp. The upside gap of July 23, 2008 had created a bullish ‘Island Reversal Gap’ on the daily charts between 14510 pts and 14519 pts.

Normally, the implications of this on the medium-term outlook would be very positive, especially since the “Island” comprised of 22 trading sessions. When a stock indicates an uptrend, trades above the gap which occurs, then gaps back down and trades below the initial price, an island reversal has occurred.

However, the Sensex has since run into a strong resistance zone between 15026 pts and 15390 pts. The monthly mid-point of June 2008 is at 15026 pts. The 50% retracement level of the fall from the May 2008 peak (17735 pts) is at 15124 pts. The positive implications of the bullish “Island Reversal Gap” would thus get negated if the Sensex has a daily close below 14104 pts (the close on July 22, 2008). The Sensex is then expected to have an initial downside of 13513 pts, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent rise from 12514 pts to 15130 pts.

If the bearish “Island reversal gap” of 14484-14568 pts is immediately filled and the Sensex manages to decisively overhaul the resistances between 15130 pts and 15390 pts, the ongoing upmove would continue. The Sensex may then test higher levels between 16618 pts and 16860 pts.

The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the fall from the May 2008 peak is at 16618 pts while 16860 pts is the 50% retracement level of the entire fall from the January 2008 peak. Hence, one would await further confirmation before turning positive on the medium-term outlook.

Friday, August 15, 2008

Dish TV

Dish TV shines bright on debut in NSE F&O
August 14, 2008

Dish TV India on Wednesday surged 10.26 per cent to close at Rs 39.75 after being included in NSE’s futures and options segment with effect from August 21. NSE announced this yesterday after the market hours. The stock opened 7.07 per cent higher at Rs 38.60 and touched an intraday high of Rs 40.45.

The counter witnessed volumes of 76,78,034 shares vis-à-vis a two-week average of 34,47,892 shares. The stock hit a 52-week high of Rs 106.4 on January 1 and a 52-week low of Rs 26.3 on July 2. The scrip has gained 18.1 per cent in the last one week.

Reliance

Vornado, RIL team up for shopping centres
August 15, 2008,

The US-based real estate investment trust Vornado Realty Trust has announced an equal joint venture with the Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries to acquire, develop and operate shopping malls in India. Both partners will invest $250 million (nearly Rs 1,000 crore) each in the JV.

“The shopping centers, spread over 5,00,000 to 10 lakh square feet or more, will be anchored by a hypermarket owned and operated by Reliance,” Vornado said.

The JV is expected to boost the expansion plans of RIL’s retail venture Reliance Retail, which operates 700 multiple-format stores across 60 cities, encompassing 3.5 million sqft.

Reliance Retail has announced ambitious plans to the tune of Rs 25,000 crore. The retailer runs neighbourhood store Reliance Fresh, consumer durable chain Reliance Digital, hypermarket chain Reliance Mart, apparel chain Reliance Trends and footwear chain Reliance Footprint.

The New York Stock Exchange-listed Vornado already has an exposure to the Indian realty market. The company has an aggregate investment nearing $91 million and capital commitments of $92 million in joint ventures across the country. Vornado Realty Fund, an integrated real estate investment trust, owns over 100 million sq ft of office, retail and other properties in the US.

Retail rentals have doubled in most premium locations across Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore in the last three years. Retailers have been hit hard due to the soaring realty prices, delays in getting properties and reduction in footfalls.

In a bid to counter this, most retailers have floated their own funds that invest in shopping malls or formed JVs to invest in real estate.

Future Group, which houses India’s largest retailer Pantaloons, has floated Kshitij realty fund that invests in the group’s shopping malls. Tata’s retail arm Trent has tied up with private equity firm The Xander Group to float a retail real estate fund, while Aditya Birla Retail, formed by AV Birla group, has plans to float a retail real estate fund.

The domestic retail market that is currently valued at $511 billion, is projected to grow to $833 billion in the next five years. Organised retail is expected to grow by 40 per cent every year to $107 billion by 2013, according to retail consultancy AT Kearney.

Property consultancy CB Richard Ellis sees a likelihood of nearly 100 million sq ft retail property being developed. Some of the biggest shopping centre developers and investors have started their operations in the country. South Africa’s Old Mutual Property Investments, the UK’s Liberty International, Israel’s Plaza Centres and Metro Junction have announced plans in the country.

Analysts are however concerned about an impending oversupply of space in the retail sector. “Over-supply and saturation may result in correction of rentals in certain pockets and micro-markets in the short to medium-term,’’ said a report from property consultancy CB Richard Ellis.

Reliance

Vornado, RIL team up for shopping centres
August 15, 2008,

The US-based real estate investment trust Vornado Realty Trust has announced an equal joint venture with the Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries to acquire, develop and operate shopping malls in India. Both partners will invest $250 million (nearly Rs 1,000 crore) each in the JV.

“The shopping centers, spread over 5,00,000 to 10 lakh square feet or more, will be anchored by a hypermarket owned and operated by Reliance,” Vornado said.

The JV is expected to boost the expansion plans of RIL’s retail venture Reliance Retail, which operates 700 multiple-format stores across 60 cities, encompassing 3.5 million sqft.

Reliance Retail has announced ambitious plans to the tune of Rs 25,000 crore. The retailer runs neighbourhood store Reliance Fresh, consumer durable chain Reliance Digital, hypermarket chain Reliance Mart, apparel chain Reliance Trends and footwear chain Reliance Footprint.

The New York Stock Exchange-listed Vornado already has an exposure to the Indian realty market. The company has an aggregate investment nearing $91 million and capital commitments of $92 million in joint ventures across the country. Vornado Realty Fund, an integrated real estate investment trust, owns over 100 million sq ft of office, retail and other properties in the US.

Retail rentals have doubled in most premium locations across Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore in the last three years. Retailers have been hit hard due to the soaring realty prices, delays in getting properties and reduction in footfalls.

In a bid to counter this, most retailers have floated their own funds that invest in shopping malls or formed JVs to invest in real estate.

Future Group, which houses India’s largest retailer Pantaloons, has floated Kshitij realty fund that invests in the group’s shopping malls. Tata’s retail arm Trent has tied up with private equity firm The Xander Group to float a retail real estate fund, while Aditya Birla Retail, formed by AV Birla group, has plans to float a retail real estate fund.

The domestic retail market that is currently valued at $511 billion, is projected to grow to $833 billion in the next five years. Organised retail is expected to grow by 40 per cent every year to $107 billion by 2013, according to retail consultancy AT Kearney.

Property consultancy CB Richard Ellis sees a likelihood of nearly 100 million sq ft retail property being developed. Some of the biggest shopping centre developers and investors have started their operations in the country. South Africa’s Old Mutual Property Investments, the UK’s Liberty International, Israel’s Plaza Centres and Metro Junction have announced plans in the country.

Analysts are however concerned about an impending oversupply of space in the retail sector. “Over-supply and saturation may result in correction of rentals in certain pockets and micro-markets in the short to medium-term,’’ said a report from property consultancy CB Richard Ellis.

Reliance

Vornado, RIL team up for shopping centres
August 15, 2008,

The US-based real estate investment trust Vornado Realty Trust has announced an equal joint venture with the Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries to acquire, develop and operate shopping malls in India. Both partners will invest $250 million (nearly Rs 1,000 crore) each in the JV.

“The shopping centers, spread over 5,00,000 to 10 lakh square feet or more, will be anchored by a hypermarket owned and operated by Reliance,” Vornado said.

The JV is expected to boost the expansion plans of RIL’s retail venture Reliance Retail, which operates 700 multiple-format stores across 60 cities, encompassing 3.5 million sqft.

Reliance Retail has announced ambitious plans to the tune of Rs 25,000 crore. The retailer runs neighbourhood store Reliance Fresh, consumer durable chain Reliance Digital, hypermarket chain Reliance Mart, apparel chain Reliance Trends and footwear chain Reliance Footprint.

The New York Stock Exchange-listed Vornado already has an exposure to the Indian realty market. The company has an aggregate investment nearing $91 million and capital commitments of $92 million in joint ventures across the country. Vornado Realty Fund, an integrated real estate investment trust, owns over 100 million sq ft of office, retail and other properties in the US.

Retail rentals have doubled in most premium locations across Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore in the last three years. Retailers have been hit hard due to the soaring realty prices, delays in getting properties and reduction in footfalls.

In a bid to counter this, most retailers have floated their own funds that invest in shopping malls or formed JVs to invest in real estate.

Future Group, which houses India’s largest retailer Pantaloons, has floated Kshitij realty fund that invests in the group’s shopping malls. Tata’s retail arm Trent has tied up with private equity firm The Xander Group to float a retail real estate fund, while Aditya Birla Retail, formed by AV Birla group, has plans to float a retail real estate fund.

The domestic retail market that is currently valued at $511 billion, is projected to grow to $833 billion in the next five years. Organised retail is expected to grow by 40 per cent every year to $107 billion by 2013, according to retail consultancy AT Kearney.

Property consultancy CB Richard Ellis sees a likelihood of nearly 100 million sq ft retail property being developed. Some of the biggest shopping centre developers and investors have started their operations in the country. South Africa’s Old Mutual Property Investments, the UK’s Liberty International, Israel’s Plaza Centres and Metro Junction have announced plans in the country.

Analysts are however concerned about an impending oversupply of space in the retail sector. “Over-supply and saturation may result in correction of rentals in certain pockets and micro-markets in the short to medium-term,’’ said a report from property consultancy CB Richard Ellis.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Future Cap Holdings



Analysts' picks:Future Cap Holdings, HCL Infosystems, HCL Infosystems, Vishal Retail, Wipro
13 Aug, 2008,

Future Cap Holdings

cmp: Rs 360.50
target price: NA

Edelweiss has initiated coverage on Future Capital Holdings with an ‘accumulate’ rating as it feels that the company with its vertically-integrated model is likely to capture value across the chain in the high-growth consumption space.

“The company is building a vertically integrated capital-cum-agency business model through its investment advisory, financing and financial products distribution businesses,” says the report. The company is a focused investment advisor with $1.5 billion funds under advice in consumption-related sectors, it adds.

The brokerage expects its assets under management to grow to $5 billion by FY11E. It also expects the “company’s net revenues to grow seven-fold to Rs 7.7 billion in FY10E and profit after tax to grow to Rs 1.8 billion in FY10E”. The stock is trading at 12.6 times FY10E earnings and 2.5 times FY10E book, says the report. Edelweiss recommends investors to accumulate the stock at current levels from a long-term perspective (2-3 years).

HCL Infosystems
cmp: Rs 121.80
target price: Rs 155

CLSA has maintained an ‘outperform’ rating on HCL Infosystems while lowering the target price from Rs 230 to Rs 155 due to the further slowing down of PC sales. “HCL Infosystems’ sales are slowing down further and we now expect flat to negative year-on-year revenue growth in the segment in the June’08 quarter,” says the brokerage.

Around 30% of the company’s PC sales go to the retail segment, where the slowdown observed since late CY2007 has deepened, it says. Lower computer systems revenue assumptions are driving around 4-11% further cut in EPS estimates for FY08-10, it goes on to add.

According to CLSA, the demand of PC seems to be waning due to “cost-led 5-7% price hikes passed on by vendors, plus the lower financing options available (higher interest rates plus cut back in new loans from financiers)”. A 6.4% dividend yield provides some buffers to the stock, but upsides seem limited as a weak quarter looms, it adds.

Vishal Retail
cmp: Rs 415.90
target price: Rs 485

Kotak Institutional Equities has initiated coverage on Vishal Retail with a ‘add’ rating as it feels that the company would benefit from its ‘value’ model that has national scalability, thereby offering economies of scale.

“The company’s transformation to an integrated retailer dilutes its dependence on apparel while its emphasis on private labels is likely to support margins,” says the report.

It goes on to add that the company’s product mix is likely to under go significant changes in the near future, with negative margin impact of FMCG sales offset by higher share of private labels. The brokerage, however, feels that the “proposed rollout is aggressive” and that it would be “tempered by funding constraints”.

“We expect the total retail space to grow at 48% CAGR to 7 million sq ft by FY2011E, which is 30% lower than management estimates, after factoring in funding constraints,” says the report. Inflation and economic slowdown are concerns given the company’s concentration on lower income categories, it adds.

Wipro
cmp: Rs 433.30
target price: NA

ICICI Securities has maintained a ‘buy’ rating on Wipro even while viewing that the risk-reward is unfavourable at current valuations owing to deteriorating earnings visibility. The brokerage believes that Wipro’s upswing in the past weeks and the resulting par-valuations with Infosys is unjustified in the short term and expects profit booking at current levels.

“With FY09E and FY10E PE at 17.2 times and 14.1 times (versus 17 times and 14.9 times for Infosys), we believe Wipro will witness profit booking in the short term given lower earnings visibility and similar EPS CAGR through FY08-11E,” says the report.

As against a historically strong second quarter, Wipro’s Q2FY09 dollar-denominated revenue growth guidance indicates that the company is witnessing client-specific ramp downs in Q2FY09, it adds. ICICI Securities, however, believes that client-specific issues in material accounts (GM, Nokia-Siemens, Alcatel-Lucent) are likely to lead to a bounceback in revenue growth only post Q2FY09.

Saturday, August 9, 2008

Sensex stocks

A positive opening on the cards
August 10, 2008,

The major indices are likely to open strong on Monday due to extremely positive cues from the US markets. Market internals suggest selling bias at higher levels. While the indices managed to hold crucial support levels, an impending correction may see the indices break below the support levels in the coming days.
Sensex, has gained nearly 13 per cent (1,714 points) during the period. The index moved in a range of 919 points last week – it rallied from a low of 14,504 to a high of 15,423 - and finally ended with gains of 511 points at 15,168.

Among the Sensex stocks, Maruti zoomed over 21 per cent. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Tata Motors, Grasim, Mahindra & Mahindra and ACC rallied 9-16 per cent each. Tata Power and Tata Steel, however, dropped 5 per cent and 4 per cent respectively.

The Sensex crossed the resistance level of 15,200 in intra-day trades during the last three days. However, the index could not close above it. The index may target 17,150 in the medium-term. But a sharp correction is not ruled out, given the high 14-day relative strength index (RSI) at 72 per cent. An RSI of above 70 per cent indicates overbought zone.

The index may face resistance around 15,625-15,740 this week, above which it may spurt to the 16,000-mark. On the downside, the index may seek support around 14,600 and 13,350-13,500.

The Nifty moved in a range of 253 points - rallying from a low of 4,363 to a high of 4,616 - before settling 116 points higher at 4,530.

The index has closed above the 4,500-mark for the last four straight days and looks set to target its 200-DMA (daily moving average) at 5,135 in the coming days.

However, it is likely to face resistance around 4,700-4,800 in the near term, and profit-taking at these levels could see the index slide to 4,170-4,050.

The Nifty is likely to face resistance around 4,625-4,690 and may find support around 4,430-4,370 this week.

JP Associates

AnandRathi puts 'buy' on JP Associates; target Rs 232
6 Aug, 2008,

AnandRathi has advised buying Jaiprakash Associates at around the current price for a target of Rs 232 and a stop loss of Rs 168.

JP Associates, after a descent consolidation exhibits a trend reversal, rise in RSI from over sold zone indicates a medium term buy.

Based on the chart pattern developed to date, the stock is likely to get support around Rs.170.

The brokerage suggests accumulating more if the stock comes close to the support level. If it moves above Rs 232 level then it can even touch Rs 254 levels.

JP Associates

AnandRathi puts 'buy' on JP Associates; target Rs 232
6 Aug, 2008,

AnandRathi has advised buying Jaiprakash Associates at around the current price for a target of Rs 232 and a stop loss of Rs 168.

JP Associates, after a descent consolidation exhibits a trend reversal, rise in RSI from over sold zone indicates a medium term buy.

Based on the chart pattern developed to date, the stock is likely to get support around Rs.170.

The brokerage suggests accumulating more if the stock comes close to the support level. If it moves above Rs 232 level then it can even touch Rs 254 levels.

JP Associates

AnandRathi puts 'buy' on JP Associates; target Rs 232
6 Aug, 2008,

AnandRathi has advised buying Jaiprakash Associates at around the current price for a target of Rs 232 and a stop loss of Rs 168.

JP Associates, after a descent consolidation exhibits a trend reversal, rise in RSI from over sold zone indicates a medium term buy.

Based on the chart pattern developed to date, the stock is likely to get support around Rs.170.

The brokerage suggests accumulating more if the stock comes close to the support level. If it moves above Rs 232 level then it can even touch Rs 254 levels.

Tata Motors

Anand Rathi puts 'buy' on Tata Motors
7 Aug, 2008

Anand Rathi Securities has initiated a medium term technical 'buy' call on Tata Motors. The brokerage suggests buying this stock between Rs 430-440 with a stoploss of Rs 399 for a target of Rs 520. The current market price is Rs 440.

The stock has sustained above its strong resistance levels at Rs 435-440. The 14-day Relative Strength Index indicates the stock is in an oversold zone and the candle stick chart has formed a bullish engulfing pattern.

“We strongly believe that the stock has entered into medium term bullishness with substantial upside,” Anand Rathi says in its report

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

HPCL

ICICI Securities maintains a 'buy' on HPCL
6 Aug, 2008

CMP: Rs 234.20
Target price: NA

ICICI Securities has maintained a ‘buy’ rating on HPCL even after the company reported a recurring loss of Rs 880 crore in the first quarter of the current financial year due to lower than expected subsidy support from the government and upstream companies.

The brokerage expects subsidy support to increase over the year as the government has not yet accounted for the Rs 40,000 crore unallocated burden. “Though we continue to believe that the stock may remain subdued in the short term till the government decides the final subsidy burden-sharing formula, the company is trading at a significant discount to the replacement value of its asset,” says the report.

The brokerage also highlights the fact that risks of further increase in interest costs along with expectations of a fall in refining margins could potentially impact earnings. Positive surprise, however, on higher subsidy sharing by upstream companies and oil bonds could be a boost to stock prices, it adds.

Positive news on the E&P front and implementation of subsidy reforms recommended by the Rangarajan Committee could trigger re-rating in the stock, says the report.

HPCL

ICICI Securities maintains a 'buy' on HPCL
6 Aug, 2008

CMP: Rs 234.20
Target price: NA

ICICI Securities has maintained a ‘buy’ rating on HPCL even after the company reported a recurring loss of Rs 880 crore in the first quarter of the current financial year due to lower than expected subsidy support from the government and upstream companies.

The brokerage expects subsidy support to increase over the year as the government has not yet accounted for the Rs 40,000 crore unallocated burden. “Though we continue to believe that the stock may remain subdued in the short term till the government decides the final subsidy burden-sharing formula, the company is trading at a significant discount to the replacement value of its asset,” says the report.

The brokerage also highlights the fact that risks of further increase in interest costs along with expectations of a fall in refining margins could potentially impact earnings. Positive surprise, however, on higher subsidy sharing by upstream companies and oil bonds could be a boost to stock prices, it adds.

Positive news on the E&P front and implementation of subsidy reforms recommended by the Rangarajan Committee could trigger re-rating in the stock, says the report.

HPCL

ICICI Securities maintains a 'buy' on HPCL
6 Aug, 2008

CMP: Rs 234.20
Target price: NA

ICICI Securities has maintained a ‘buy’ rating on HPCL even after the company reported a recurring loss of Rs 880 crore in the first quarter of the current financial year due to lower than expected subsidy support from the government and upstream companies.

The brokerage expects subsidy support to increase over the year as the government has not yet accounted for the Rs 40,000 crore unallocated burden. “Though we continue to believe that the stock may remain subdued in the short term till the government decides the final subsidy burden-sharing formula, the company is trading at a significant discount to the replacement value of its asset,” says the report.

The brokerage also highlights the fact that risks of further increase in interest costs along with expectations of a fall in refining margins could potentially impact earnings. Positive surprise, however, on higher subsidy sharing by upstream companies and oil bonds could be a boost to stock prices, it adds.

Positive news on the E&P front and implementation of subsidy reforms recommended by the Rangarajan Committee could trigger re-rating in the stock, says the report.

Tata Steel

Tata Steel makes it to Fortune Global 500 list for first time . 6 Aug, 2008.

MUMBAI: Steel major Tata Steel has for the first time made it to the prestigious Fortune Global 500 list of the world's largest corporations, a company statement said on Wednesday.

The company ranks 231 in terms of revenue, the statement said.

Interestingly, Fortune magazine in its July 21, 2008 issue, had for the first time included Tata Steel in its Global 500 list but the company was ranked 315th in terms of revenue.

This ranking was, however, based on the company's total revenues in the first three quarters of the current fiscal and the last quarter of the previous fiscal.

Following the announcement of the company's annual results, Fortune has re-ranked Tata Steel.

In a clarification on its website, Fortune has said: "Tata Steel's revenue for fiscal year end March 31, 2008 -- released by the company after the Global 500 publication deadline -- was $32.8 billion. Had the information been available, the company would have placed 231 on the list. The company ranked 315th in the listing, based on revenue for the four quarters ended Dec. 31, 2007, of $25.7 billion."

HDFC Bank

Indiabulls maintains 'buy' on HDFC Bank
6 Aug, 2008

CMP: Rs 1,184.35
Target price: Rs 1,400

Indiabulls has maintained a ‘buy’ rating on HDFC Bank as it feels that the bank would revert to its more profitable numbers once Centurion Bank of Punjab (CBoP) is integrated in its existing network.

“Sound fundamentals make HDFC Bank a strong performer,” says the report, adding that “despite taking a nominal hit on its net interest margin (NIM) post the merger with CBoP, net interest income (NII) grew by 74.9% YoY and fee income by 37.3% YoY.” This pulled up net profit by 44.6% and on a proforma basis, by 31.1%.

While the bank recorded a 111.60% YoY increase in its non-performing assets, the brokerage feels it is more on account of the merger than due to a deterioration in asset quality, since HDFC Bank’s net NPA ratio stood at 0.5% of net advances this quarter.

Friday, August 1, 2008

MTNL

MTNL shares up 6% on 3G spectrum allocation
1 Aug, 2008,

MUMBAI: Shares of MTNL picked up steam after the telecommunications ministry announced that BSNL and MTNL will be allotted high-speed third-generation spectrum right away.

A global auction for 3G mobile services will be held and have five operators initially. The new guidelines for 3G spectrum, released today, provides for a reserve price for availing of radio frequency.

The department of telecommunications has also fixed the base price at Rs 160 crore for metros and category A circles, Rs 80 crore for category B, and Rs 30 crore for C circles, respectively for 3G spectrum auctions.

The guidelines for 'mobile number portability', also released by the government, MTNL shares up 6% on 3G spectrum allocation
1 Aug, 2008,

proposes dividing the country into two zones for implementing the scheme that is prevalent in most mature telecom markets.

India has 60 MHz of 3G spectrum available, and will allow both GSM and CDMA 3G services.

At 12:45 pm, MTNL shares soared 6.45 per cent to Rs 110.50. Among other telcom players, Bharti Airtel was marginally higher, Tata Communications rose 2.03 per cent while Idea Cellular lost 0.79 per cent.

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